NHC eyeing tropical disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico

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Current forecast models show south Louisiana remaining on the western, dry side of the system, but any changes in the low's track might bring higher chances of rain to the Baton Rouge and New Orleans areas.

The NHC gives the disturbance a 30% chance of tropical formation in the next 48 hours and a 40% chance of tropical formation over the next 5 days.

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A a tropical or subtropical system may be developing in the eastern Gulf of Mexico over the coming days, according to The National Weather Service.

Be sure to stay with the WLOX First Alert Weather Team as we keep you updated on this system throughout the week ahead. We will have lots of sunshine to start off, with more clouds in the afternoon. Rain chances are between 60% to 80% into next weekend. I can't rule out a strong thunderstorm; however, no organized severe weather is expected. So I'm not expecting an all day steady rain, but I would be prepared for possible rainy periods, including a few heavy downpours.

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Tropical disturbances in May are not uncommon. It is likely that we continue to see rain on and off through the rest of Tuesday, and still on and off into the weekend.

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