"We expect El Nino to be in place in late fall to early winter", said Mike Halpert, deputy director of NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, which could "influence the winter season by bringing wetter conditions across the southern United States, and warmer, drier conditions to parts of the North".
In the winter, the NOAA said, typical El Nino conditions include wetter-than-average precipitation in the southern us and drier conditions in parts of the northern U.S. This change in sea surface temperature has a wide range of effects on seasonal weather patterns across the globe, but in the USA, an El Niño typically means warmer winter temperatures, and higher levels of precipitation in certain regions of the country.
-The Southeast, Tennessee Valley, Ohio Valley and Mid-Atlantic all have equal chances for below-, near- or above-average temperatures.
Halpert says Maine's winter may yet be affected by warming equatorial ocean temperatures in the Pacific, known as El Niño.More news: Facebook Watch Is Bringing Back ‘The Real World’
There's a lot more than just an El Nino pattern that determines how winter will play out. Weather experts predict a warmer than normal winter in Kansas.
- No part of the U.S.is favored to have below-average temperatures.
It also said that wetter-than-average conditions are likely across the southern part of the USA, and up into the Mid-Atlantic.
Precipitation is expected to be above normal across the southern tier of the United States, extending up into the Mid-Atlantic. The chances are highest in southeastern Georgia and much of northern and central Florida.More news: Red Dead Redemption 2 prices: find the best RDR2 pre-order deals
Drought conditions may worsen in much of Southern and Central California, although the north coast of California may see some relief, according to NOAA. "The maps show only the most likely category with higher probability indicating greater confidence".
But they are expected to get better in Arizona and New Mexico, southern parts of Utah and Colorado, the coastal Pacific Northwest and the Central Plains, NOAA said.
For those looking for snowfall projections, you won't find those in NOAA's winter outlook.
Cold air and even some snow blanketed areas of Maine Thursday, but the National Weather Service predictions indicate that Maine might experience a milder-than-average winter. Snow forecasts are generally not easily predicated more than a week in advance. The next update will be posted on November 15.More news: Rihanna Turned Down Performing at Super Bowl Over Colin Kaepernick Situation